Blog — Igor Geyn

Does shutting off the power actually prevent wildfires? A step-by-step causal analysis — why the headline numbers mislead, how far publicly available data can take us, and exactly what it would take to measure the real effect.

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Grid & Wildfire Risk · Series Part 1

Understanding the Fire Risk in California's Power Grid: Generation

April 06, 2026

Part 1 of a series on California's energy grid and wildfire risk. A data-driven analysis of how California's 3,018 generators overlap with fire threat zones, historical fire perimeters, and fire weather patterns.

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Grid & Wildfire Risk

How Much Fire Risk Is California Building? A Case Study of the Manning–Metcalf 500 kV Corridor

March 04, 2026

A case study of the Manning–Metcalf 500 kV corridor and the data center transmission buildout

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Grid & Wildfire Risk

Understanding California's Power Shutoffs

February 09, 2026

A data-driven look at who bears the burden, how long outages last, and whether the fire prevention strategy is working

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Elections & Participation

Does Subsidized College Make People Vote? A Causal Analysis with 16 Million Records

January 19, 2026

How I linked 16.4 million financial aid applications to voter records to estimate the civic returns to tuition subsidies—and what the results mean for American democracy.

How Effective Is PSPS at Preventing Wildfires?

Understanding the Fire Risk in California's Power Grid: Generation

How Much Fire Risk Is California Building? A Case Study of the Manning–Metcalf 500 kV Corridor

Understanding California's Power Shutoffs

Does Subsidized College Make People Vote? A Causal Analysis with 16 Million Records